The 4th Ashes Test match from Chester-le-street Durham starts on Thursday.
Although England have regained the Ashes the fact there is back to back series means there is plenty to play for regarding spots for the rematch down under and all Ashes tests are ferocious battles in their own rights.
Looking back on the first three matches most people would say that the gap between the two teams when they play well is not very big. England are simply the more reliable team.
In the 1st Test England narrowly won, the 3rd Test Australia were marginally the better team and Australia were abysmal in the 2nd Test.
I believe the strength of both teams is in their bowling. The news that the fragile Ryan Harris is likely to play again in this 4th Test and Nathan Lyon is unlikely to be as luck free with the ball two tests running encourages me to think that Australia will be able to take 20 wickets. England have a strong bowling attack too and the weather is set fair. With this in mind, the first bet I am drawn to is laying the draw at the current 3.5 on the exchanges.
Although risking an over reliance on the bowling attacks for my second suggested bet we will once again be cheering on the ball rather than bat. We have had a couple of big scores from Joe Root and Michael Clarke but both of these were a touch fortunate to be around long enough due to a dropped catch and a dubious DRS decision. From a spread perspective a sell of ton-ups at 73 could yield dividends too.
lay the draw at 3.5
sell match ton-ups at 73