Man City v Man U (LIVE SKY at 4pm)
Sometimes the odds and the formbook don’t add up to the same thing. There’s only been one draw in the Manchester derby in the last 20 encounters – so chances are it will finish one way or the other this afternoon again.
But that all depends how much you like historic stats as a pointer to future events. Certainly they are not everyones cup of tea and it’s a fair question to ask how relevant can a match that took place five years ago be to today’s game ?
If you are looking more at current form, then you might well be tempted by the draw. The early Premier League table says there is nothing between the two Manchester sides. Both played 4 – with 7 points. City are ahead not because of the alphabet – but because of a one goal better goal difference.
One result Sky don’t want is a repeat of the November 2010 game – Man City 0-0 Man Utd.
HEAD TO HEAD RECORD
(Max last 10 only)
Apr 2013 Premier Man Utd 1-2 Man City
Dec 2012 Premier Man City 2-3 Man Utd
Apr 2012 Premier Man City 1-0 Man Utd
Jan 2012 FA Cup Man City 2-3 Man Utd
Oct 2011 Premier Man Utd 1-6 Man City
Aug 2011 Community Shield Man Utd 3-2 Man City
Apr 2011 FA Cup Man City 1-0 Man Utd
Feb 2011 Premier Man Utd 2-1 Man City
Nov 2010 Premier Man City 0-0 Man Utd
Apr 2010 Premier Man City 0-1 Man Utd
Team news:
Manchester City (from): Hart, Pantilimon, Zabaleta, Richards, Kompany, Nastasic, Lescott, Boyata, Kolarov, Silva, Nasri, Milner, Navas, Fernandinho, Toure, Garcia, Rodwell, Aguero, Dzeko, Negredo, Jovetic.
Manchester United (from): De Gea, Lindegaard, Amos, Rafael, Fabio, Jones, Smalling, Ferdinand, Vidic, Evra, Buttner, Valencia, Giggs, Carrick, Cleverley, Fellaini, Anderson, Kagawa, Nani, Young, Welbeck, Van Persie, Rooney, Hernandez.
On balance, and with home advantage I’m taking Man City at around 0.45 with Star Spreads. It’s a good time for them to be playing their neighbours and although Man U looked good the Champions League midweek for my money they still look a little unsettled and I think the Moyes magic potion may need some more time yet. I also think we can expect goals so am having an interest north of 2.9.
Time for City to take advantage
ADVICE
BUY MAN CITY supremacy at around 0.45
BUY TOTAL GOALS at around 2.9
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