S.P. Read Esq: The General Election
Our daily columnist and pundit S.P. Read Esq. looks ahead to Thursday’s GENERAL ELECTION and finds the best opportunities available on Star Spreads, the home of sports spread betting.
63.6 is the magic number
Of all the specials markets on the General Election (and there are numerous) the voter turnout percentage always draws me in.
It’s a market which builds in so many factors other than simply politics – not least of which, of course, the Great British Weather !
The trend is on the rise again from hitting a low of 59.4% in 2001 when Tony Blair won in a landslide majority of 167. One important lesson here is that a perceived one-horse race impacts voter turnout negatively.
The longer term trend though is decline – 83.9% of the nation voted in 1950.
Since then the overall picture is apathy – perhaps people leading busier lives too and how long before the authorities allow votes to cast their votes online and mobile but that’s a story for another day.
Until such times the church halls and black pencil remain in force.
Graph from: www.ukpolitical.info
I thought, like a lot of people, this would be the same logic year. A nation already fatigued out with the BREXIT Referendum and facing a seemingly inevitable conclusion when Theresa May called her snap election on the 18th April.
It hasn’t quite been Mayhem in the campaigning since but there has at least been life breathed into a race which no longer looks, quite, so lop-sided.
May is still a red-hot favourite but ‘no overall majority’ is only around a 4/1 chance with Star Sports fixed odds and that might just inspire a few more voters out in the belief that their vote may well really count.
And then there’s the weather. The latest is that there will be a rain belt pushing north throughout the day.
After a great result in the Champions League I have a few points in hand and will be BUYING the TURNOUT PERCENTAGE at 63.6 with Star Spreads.
CLICK FOR GENERAL ELECTION SPECIALS MARKETS ON STAR SPREADS
RECOMMENDED BETS (scale 1-100 points)
BUY TURNOUT PERCENTAGE for 100 points at 63.6 with Star Spreads
PROFIT/LOSS SINCE JAN 1 2017: PROFOT 710.00 points
- Any spread prices quoted are indicative and as always prices are subject to fluctuation.
- Please note the opinion, views and forecasts above are of the author and not of Star Spreads.
