Celtic Success

In response to my good friend Malcolm’s blog from July 7th, where he stated his reasons for thinking Celtic were a lay at 33s on for the SPL Title, I feel now is the right time to put forward the reasons why I was firmly in the opposite camp.

I think the perfect case can be made for why Celtic should have been a lot shorter than 1/33 merely by looking at Malcolm’s ‘scenarios’(see below) and asking why on earth he thought they were valid enough to be a layer at those odds?

Rangers could be reinstated and find a mega money backer
Well this was never going to be seriously considered for this season so soon after the SPL took the huge decision to relegate Rangers to the lowest tier and so therefore when pricing up Celtic’s chances the prospect of Rangers being back had absolutely no impact.

Any other SPL team gets a mega money backer
Erm…Hearts in 2004? The Romanov Revolution when the Russian multi multi millionaire took over exclaiming they were going to win the SPL and the Champions League. Did they ever win the league? No…and certainly they were nowhere near in the first year of his ownership.

Celtic thrown out of the league for betting scams, racism etc.
Not sure this needs explaining too much but to my mind No team has ever been thrown out of a league for any reason other than financial ones.

Celtic team plane crash.
1/33 were the odds on offer and this was a genuine reason given why those odds may be skinny. I am due on a flight home in a couple of hours and I am fairly sure I have a better than 96.93% chance of landing safely!

3 weeks into the SPL season and Celtic have gained 7 points from 9 and lead the way. They currently are a best priced 1/40 with VC but more realistically priced at 1/100 with Powers.
So my final advice is to leave the value hunting to ‘the judge’.