Canaries wings to be clipped further

Come on down – the price is right……

As documented in an earlier column – I always think it’s important for the punter to have an idea what a price SHOULD be and then compare this to the actual odds.

This is the complete opposite approach of most punters who look at the odds and THEN try to fit a bet around them.

Good case in point is the Norwich v Spurs game today (4pm. Sky). I was fully expecting Spurs to be odds-on for this – so was naturally surprised to see them odds against and have to bet accordingly with Star Spreads.

Spurs are very much still pushing for a top four finish in the Premier League whilst the Canaries are perilously placed right next to the relegation line and have really struggled to score goals this season, especially at home where their average is just 0.84 goals per game !.

Norwich have won only one of their last 11 matches and were brushed aside by Spurs in the reverse fixture in September.

HEAD TO HEAD RECORD
(Max last 10 only)
Sep 2013 Premier Tottenham 2-0 Norwich
Jan 2013 Premier Norwich 1-1 Tottenham
Oct 2012 Capital One Norwich 2-1 Tottenham
Sep 2012 Premier Tottenham 1-1 Norwich
Apr 2012 Premier Tottenham 1-2 Norwich
Dec 2011 Premier Norwich 0-2 Tottenham
Dec 2004 Premier Norwich 0-2 Tottenham
Sep 2004 Premier Tottenham 0-0 Norwich
Apr 1995 Premier Tottenham 1-0 Norwich
Dec 1994 Premier Norwich 0-2 Tottenham

The irony of today’s match is that a Norwich defeat could mark the end of Chris Hughton’s tenure at Carrow Road. He is already odds-on to be the next Premier League manager to get the boot (or ‘leave his position’ as is more politically correct these days). Hughton, of course, has a long history with Spurs both as a player and as part of the management team but there will be no place for sentiment this afternoon from Spurs who could draw level with Liverpool in the table.

Norwich need points and they need them now. They have an astonishing end to the season with their final four matches against Liverpool, Manchester United, Chelsea and Arsenal !!

Spurs are continuing to play good football under Tim Sherwood and only Chelsea have a better record in the Premier League since he took the helm.

I’m taking Norwich on the superiority market with Star Spreads. Disaster with the total goals on the Chelsea game yesterday but at least there was SOME damage limitation when a goal finally arrived after 93 minutes.

RECOMMENDED BET (1-10 points)

BUY SPURS/NORWICH for 10 points at around 0.6 with Star Spreads

RUNNING RETURN (FEBRUARY): PROFIT 85 POINTS

RUNNING RETURN (YEAR): PROFIT 61.8 POINTS

• Any spread prices quoted are indicative and as always prices are subject to fluctuation.
• Please note the opinion, views and forecasts above are of the author and not of Star Spreads.